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Climate change has been projected to significantly affect agricultural productivity and hence food availability in the coming decades. The uncertainty associated with projecting climate change impacts is a barrier to agricultural adaptation. Despite uncertainty quantification becoming more promin...


Ramírez Villegas, JuliánChallinor, Andrew J.[Towards a genotypic adaptation strategy for Indian groundnut cultivation using an ensemble of crop simulations]Towards a genotypic adaptation strategy for Indian groundnut cultivation using an ensemble of crop simulations

Climate change is one of the main threats to rural livelihoods in Central America, especially for small and medium-sized farmers. Climate change vulnerability assessment (CCVA) integrates biophysical and socioeconomic information to support policy decisions. We present a CCVA of agricultural live...


Bouroncle, ClaudiaImbach, PabloRodríguez Sánchez, BeatrizMedellín, ClaudiaMartínez Valle, Armando IsaacLäderach, Peter[Mapping climate change adaptive capacity and vulnerability of smallholder agricultural livelihoods in Central America: ranking and descriptive approaches to support adaptation strategies]Mapping climate change adaptive capacity and vulnerability of smallholder agricultural livelihoods in Central America: ranking and descriptive approaches to support adaptation strategies
Ruane, Alex C.Hudson, Nicholas I.Asseng, SentholdCamarrano, DavideEwert, FrankMartre, PierreBoote, Kenneth J.Thorburn, Peter J.Aggarwal, Pramod K.Angulo, CarlosBasso, BrunoBertuzzi, PatrickBiernath, ChristianBrisson, NadineChallinor, Andrew J.Doltra, JordiGayler, SebastianGoldberg, Richard A.Grant, Robert F.Heng, LeeHooker, JoshHunt, Leslie A.Ingwersen, JoachimIzaurralde, Roberto CésarKersebaum, Kurt-ChristianKumar, Soora NareshMüller, ChristophNendel, ClaasO'Leary, Garry J.Olesen, J.E.Osborne, Tom M.Palosuo, TaruPriesack, EckartRipoche, DominiqueRotter, Reimund P.Semenov, Mikhail A.Shcherbak, IuriiSteduto, PasqualeStöckle, Claudio O.Stratonovitch, PierreStreck, ThiloSupit, IwanTao, FuluTravasso, MariaWaha, KatharinaWallach, DanielWhite, Jeffrey W.Wolf, Joost[Multi-wheat-model ensemble responses to interannual climate variability]Multi-wheat-model ensemble responses to interannual climate variability
Ramírez Villegas, JuliánKöhler, Ann-KristinChallinor, Andrew J.[Assessing uncertainty and complexity in regional-scale crop model simulations]Assessing uncertainty and complexity in regional-scale crop model simulations

Projections of the response of crop yield to climate change at different spatial scales are known to vary. However, understanding of the causes of systematic differences across scale is limited. Here, we hypothesize that heterogeneous cropping intensity is one source of scale dependency. Analysis...


Challinor, Andrew J.Parkes BRamírez Villegas, Julián[Crop yield response to climate change varies with cropping intensity]Crop yield response to climate change varies with cropping intensity

Avoiding whinges from various and potentially conflicting stakeholders is a major challenge for sustainable development and for the identification of sustainability scenarios or policies for biodiversity and ecosystem services. It turns out that independently complying with whinge thresholds and ...


Doyen, L.Armstrong, C.Baumgaertner, S.Béné, ChristopheBlanchard, FabianCissé, A.A.Cooper, R.Dutra, L.X.C.Eide, A.Freitas, D.Gourguet, S.Gusmao, F.Hardy, P.-Y.Jarre, A.Little, L.R.Macher, C.Quaas, M.Regnier, E.Sanz, N.Thébaud, Olivier[From no whinge scenarios to viability tree]From no whinge scenarios to viability tree

Assessments of climate change impacts on agricultural markets and land-use patterns rely on quantification of climate change impacts on the spatial patterns of land productivity. We supply a set of climate impact scenarios on agricultural land productivity derived from two climate models and two ...


Müller, ChristophRobertson, Richard D.[Projecting future crop productivity for global economic modeling]Projecting future crop productivity for global economic modeling

According to potato experts from ten Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) countries working together in a community of practice (CoP) over a 3-years period, potato farmers across SSA can increase their current annual production of 10.8 million metric tons by 140% if they had access to high quality seed along...


Harahagazwe, D.Condori, B.Barreda, CarolinaBararyenya, A.Byarugaba, A.A.Kude, D.A.Lung'aho, C.Martinho, C.Mbiri, D.Nasona, B.Ochieng, B.Onditi, J.Randrianaivoarivony, J.M.Tankou, C.M.Worku, A.Schulte-Geldermann, ElmarMares, V.Mendiburu, F. deQuiróz, R.[How big is the potato (Solanum tuberosum L.) yield gap in Sub-Saharan Africa and why? A participatory approach.]How big is the potato (Solanum tuberosum L.) yield gap in Sub-Saharan Africa and why? A participatory approach.
Rahn, EricVaast, PhilippeLäderach, PeterAsten, Piet J.A. vanJassogne, Laurence T.P.Ghazoul, Jaboury[Exploring adaptation strategies of coffee production to climate change using a process-based model]Exploring adaptation strategies of coffee production to climate change using a process-based model

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