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The objective of this work was to develop a Decision-Support System (DSS) in order to support the decision making process by campesino farmers of Central Mexico. Two biological models, one socio-economic model and a survey database form the DSS. The CERES-Maize model simulated the yield response ...


Castelán-Ortega, O.A.Fawcett, R.H.Arriaga-Jordán, C.Herrero, Mario T.[A Decision Support System for smallholder campesino maize-cattle production systems of the Toluca Valley in Central Mexico. Part I—Integrating biological and socio-economic models into a holistic system]A Decision Support System for smallholder campesino maize-cattle production systems of the Toluca Valley in Central Mexico. Part I—Integrating biological and socio-economic models into a holistic system

Making decisions in natural resource management involves an understanding of the risk and uncertainty of the outcomes, such as crop failure or cattle starvation, and of the normal spread of the expected production. Hedging against poor outcomes often means lack of investment and slow adoption of ...


Jones, Peter G.Thornton, Philip K.[Spatial modeling of risk in natural resource management]Spatial modeling of risk in natural resource management
Raymundo, R.Asseng, SentholdCammarano, DavideQuiróz, R.[Potato, sweet potato, and yam models for climate change: A review.]Potato, sweet potato, and yam models for climate change: A review.

Conventional plant breeding largely depends on phenotypic selection and breeder's experience, therefore the breeding efficiency is low and the predictions are inaccurate. Along with the fast development in molecular biology and biotechnology, a large amount of biological data is available for gen...


Wang, J.K.Pfeiffer, Wolfgang H.[Simulation modeling in plant breeding : Principles and applications]Simulation modeling in plant breeding : Principles and applications

Crop simulation models have been used successfully to evaluate many systems and the impact of change on these systems, e.g. for climatic risk and the use of alternative management options, including the use of nitrogen fertilisers. However, for low input systems in tropical and subtropical region...


Delve, Robert J.Probert, MECobo Borrero, Juan G.Ricaurte Oyola, José JaumerRivera Pena, MBarrios, E.Rao, Idupulapati M.[Simulating phosphorus responses in annual crops using APSIM : Model evaluation on contrasting soil types]Simulating phosphorus responses in annual crops using APSIM : Model evaluation on contrasting soil types

It is not simple to predict how environmental changes may impact tropical forest species diversity. Published hypotheses are almost invariably too incomplete, too poorly specified and too dependent upon unrealistic assumptions to be useful. Ecologist have sought theoretical simplicity, and while ...


Sheil, Douglas[Tropical forest diversity, environmental change and species augmentation: after the intermediate disturbance hypothesis]Tropical forest diversity, environmental change and species augmentation: after the intermediate disturbance hypothesis

This short article describes an unlikely, but fruitful, collaboration between an anthropologist and an Artificial Intelligence researcher, the purpose of which was to build a model of how indigenous Dayak people in Kalimantan decide on their activities in the forest. The approach and the results ...


Haggith, M.Colfer, C.J.P.[Traditional wisdom meets artificial intelligence]Traditional wisdom meets artificial intelligence

Idealisation is the process of finding simple representations of the real-world whilst conceptualising a model. There are three ways to limit complication in a model of a complex real-world: by focussing the scope of the modelling process onto a clearly defined issue; by idealising elements of th...


Haggith, M.Prabhu, R.[Unlocking complexity: the importance of idealisation in simulation modelling]Unlocking complexity: the importance of idealisation in simulation modelling

International calls for sustainable development advocate that forest management should be carried out in a multi-stakeholder environment. The importance of community participation is acknowledged in the Indonesian act no. 41 on Forestry (1999). However, it is not clear how to achieve this in area...


Purnomo, H.Yasmi, Y.Prabhu, R.Yuliani, L.Priyadi, H.Vanclay, J.K.[Multi-agent simulation of alternative scenarios of collaborative forest management]Multi-agent simulation of alternative scenarios of collaborative forest management
Bodirsky, Benjamin L.Popp, AlexanderLotze-Campen, HermannDietrich, Jan PhilippRolinski, SusanneWeindl, IsabelleSchmitz, ChristophMüller, ChristophBonsch, MarkusHumpenöder, FlorianBiewald, AnneStevanovic, Miodrag[Reactive nitrogen requirements to feed the world in 2050 and potential to mitigate nitrogen pollution]Reactive nitrogen requirements to feed the world in 2050 and potential to mitigate nitrogen pollution

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