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Climate change has been projected to significantly affect agricultural productivity and hence food availability in the coming decades. The uncertainty associated with projecting climate change impacts is a barrier to agricultural adaptation. Despite uncertainty quantification becoming more promin...


Ramírez Villegas, JuliánChallinor, Andrew J.[Towards a genotypic adaptation strategy for Indian groundnut cultivation using an ensemble of crop simulations]Towards a genotypic adaptation strategy for Indian groundnut cultivation using an ensemble of crop simulations

Climate change is one of the main threats to rural livelihoods in Central America, especially for small and medium-sized farmers. Climate change vulnerability assessment (CCVA) integrates biophysical and socioeconomic information to support policy decisions. We present a CCVA of agricultural live...


Bouroncle, ClaudiaImbach, PabloRodríguez Sánchez, BeatrizMedellín, ClaudiaMartínez Valle, Armando IsaacLäderach, Peter[Mapping climate change adaptive capacity and vulnerability of smallholder agricultural livelihoods in Central America: ranking and descriptive approaches to support adaptation strategies]Mapping climate change adaptive capacity and vulnerability of smallholder agricultural livelihoods in Central America: ranking and descriptive approaches to support adaptation strategies
Ruane, Alex C.Hudson, Nicholas I.Asseng, SentholdCamarrano, DavideEwert, FrankMartre, PierreBoote, Kenneth J.Thorburn, Peter J.Aggarwal, Pramod K.Angulo, CarlosBasso, BrunoBertuzzi, PatrickBiernath, ChristianBrisson, NadineChallinor, Andrew J.Doltra, JordiGayler, SebastianGoldberg, Richard A.Grant, Robert F.Heng, LeeHooker, JoshHunt, Leslie A.Ingwersen, JoachimIzaurralde, Roberto CésarKersebaum, Kurt-ChristianKumar, Soora NareshMüller, ChristophNendel, ClaasO'Leary, Garry J.Olesen, J.E.Osborne, Tom M.Palosuo, TaruPriesack, EckartRipoche, DominiqueRotter, Reimund P.Semenov, Mikhail A.Shcherbak, IuriiSteduto, PasqualeStöckle, Claudio O.Stratonovitch, PierreStreck, ThiloSupit, IwanTao, FuluTravasso, MariaWaha, KatharinaWallach, DanielWhite, Jeffrey W.Wolf, Joost[Multi-wheat-model ensemble responses to interannual climate variability]Multi-wheat-model ensemble responses to interannual climate variability

The Ministry of Agriculture and Forests (MoAF), Royal Government of Bhutan, had formed a taskforce with members from all sub-sectors and agencies under the Ministry to formulate the RNR1 Strategy 2040 by June 2020. The RNR Strategic Document 2040 will serve as an input to the national level strat...


Pathak, Himanshu[Analysis of drivers of agricultural growth, feminization of agriculture and crop modeling tools. A capacity building workshop for the taskforce members of RNR Strategy 2040 for Bhutan.]Analysis of drivers of agricultural growth, feminization of agriculture and crop modeling tools. A capacity building workshop for the taskforce members of RNR Strategy 2040 for Bhutan.

The CGIAR research program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security Program’s (CCAFS) Regional Agricultural Forecasting Toolbox (CRAFT) is a framework for multi-scale spatial gridded simulations using an ensemble of crop models. The toolbox facilitates studies on the potential impact of c...


Shelia, VakhtangFaye, BabacarWeber, HeidiHoogenboom, Gerrit[Impact of climate change using CRAFT: a case study for West Africa]Impact of climate change using CRAFT: a case study for West Africa

In this paper we apply an integrated biophysical and economic foresight modeling approach to investigate the impacts of climate change on the global agricultural economy, and the role that new crop technology could play in mitigating these impacts. In particular, we examine how the adoption of a ...


International Center for Tropical Agriculture[Ex-ante Assessment of Drought Tolerant Bean Technology. A case study in the series: Economic Foresight for Understanding the Role of Investments in Agriculture for the Global Food System]Ex-ante Assessment of Drought Tolerant Bean Technology. A case study in the series: Economic Foresight for Understanding the Role of Investments in Agriculture for the Global Food System
Ramírez Villegas, JuliánKöhler, Ann-KristinChallinor, Andrew J.[Assessing uncertainty and complexity in regional-scale crop model simulations]Assessing uncertainty and complexity in regional-scale crop model simulations

Projections of the response of crop yield to climate change at different spatial scales are known to vary. However, understanding of the causes of systematic differences across scale is limited. Here, we hypothesize that heterogeneous cropping intensity is one source of scale dependency. Analysis...


Challinor, Andrew J.Parkes BRamírez Villegas, Julián[Crop yield response to climate change varies with cropping intensity]Crop yield response to climate change varies with cropping intensity

Avoiding whinges from various and potentially conflicting stakeholders is a major challenge for sustainable development and for the identification of sustainability scenarios or policies for biodiversity and ecosystem services. It turns out that independently complying with whinge thresholds and ...


Doyen, L.Armstrong, C.Baumgaertner, S.Béné, ChristopheBlanchard, FabianCissé, A.A.Cooper, R.Dutra, L.X.C.Eide, A.Freitas, D.Gourguet, S.Gusmao, F.Hardy, P.-Y.Jarre, A.Little, L.R.Macher, C.Quaas, M.Regnier, E.Sanz, N.Thébaud, Olivier[From no whinge scenarios to viability tree]From no whinge scenarios to viability tree

Assessments of climate change impacts on agricultural markets and land-use patterns rely on quantification of climate change impacts on the spatial patterns of land productivity. We supply a set of climate impact scenarios on agricultural land productivity derived from two climate models and two ...


Müller, ChristophRobertson, Richard D.[Projecting future crop productivity for global economic modeling]Projecting future crop productivity for global economic modeling

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